A bear market is not the end; it's a period for the strong to gather strength! Don't chase highs, don't go all-in, don't touch trash coins, DCA into mainstream assets, maintain cash flow, and patiently bottom out. When others panic, I stay calm; when others cut losses, I strategize. Every high-quality chip buried today Will be dazzling wealth in tomorrow's bull market! Endure the lows, and prosperity will naturally follow!🚀 $BTC ‌$SOL ‌ #熊市布局 #囤币待涨 #比特币2026预言

📌 2026-02-16 BTC Technical Analysis + Strategy (As of 12:50) Current Price: Approximately $68,900 (-1.3%) Trend: Very weak in the short term, dominated by a bearish mid-term, macro and capital markets leaning bearish 📉 Key Technical Levels (Core) - Resistance Levels (Sellers) - First Resistance: $69,500–$70,000 (Intraday dense zone + psychological barrier) - Second Resistance: $71,000–$71,500 (Strong resistance + trendline) - Mid-term Strong Resistance: $72,500 (Fibonacci 61.8% + 50-day moving average) - Support Levels (Buyers) - First Support: $68,000 (Intraday low) - Strong Support: $67,000 (Key support + demand zone) - Lifeline: $65,000 (Weekly strong support, a break below accelerates bearishness) - Ultimate Support: $60,000 (200-week moving average + options dense zone) 📊 Indicator Signals (Bearish) - Moving Averages: Price below 5/20/50-day MA, bearish alignment - MACD (4H/Daily): Bearish crossover below zero line, green bars expanding → Strong downward momentum - RSI (4H): 30–35, approaching oversold but not stopping decline → Weak rebound - KDJ: Low-level stagnation, oversold but no bullish reversal - Bollinger Bands: Price running along the lower band → Weak volatility oscillation 🧠 Capital and Structure (Bearish) - Liquidations: $331 million liquidated across the entire network in 24h, BTC long positions liquidated at $210 million (75%+ longs) → Deleveraging not finished - ETF/Capital: Spot ETF continues to outflow, net capital outflow → Insufficient buying pressure - On-chain: HODLers distributing, large holders reducing positions → Long-term capital leaving - Liquidity: Low during the Lunar New Year holiday, prone to quick rebounds and sharp drops, high slippage 🎯 Today's Strategy (Cautious, Can be Executed Directly) 1️⃣ Short-term (Intraday/4H) - Short (Priority) - Entry: Short on rebound in the $69,500–$70,000 zone - Stop-loss: $71,000 (Exit short if broken) - Targets: $68,000 → $67,000 → $65,000 - Long (Light position only) - Entry: $67,000 stabilizes + volume increases, try a small long position - Stop-loss: $66,500 - Targets: $68,500 → $69,500 (Fast in and out) 2️⃣ Mid-term (1–3 days) - If breaks below $65,000 → Accelerate bearish view, look toward $60,000 - Confirmation signal: Volume breakout above $71,500 and stabilization before considering trend reversal 3️⃣ Risk Management (Must Watch) - Position size: Short-term positions ≤10%, mid-term positions ≤5% - Stop-loss: Always set, no holding through stop-loss, no adding to losing positions - Coordination: Keep a close eye on BTC, ETH/SOL to follow in sync ⚠ Risk Reminder - Macro: Fed rate hike expectations delayed, US dollar strengthening, US Treasury yields rising suppresses crypto - Holiday: Low liquidity, high volatility amplification, high slippage risk - Liquidation: High leverage risk, strict position control required

📌 2026-02-16 SOL Technical Overview (as of 12:40) Current Price: approximately $106.5 (-2.0%) Trend: Very weak in the short term, bearish medium-term, following the market deep correction 📉 Key Technical Levels (Core) - Resistance Levels (Sellers) - First Resistance: $108–$110 (Intraday rebound zone) - Second Resistance: $113–$115 (Strong resistance + trendline convergence) - Medium-term Strong Resistance: $125–$130 (50-day moving average + previous support level) - Support Levels (Buyers) - First Support: $105 (Intraday low + psychological level) - Strong Support: $100 (Weekly key support + historical rebound level) - Lifeline: $95 (Weekly strong support) 📊 Indicator Signals (Bearish) - Moving Average System - Price below 5/20/50-day moving averages → Bearish dominance - 5-day moving average turning downward, 20-day moving average significantly suppressed - MACD (1H/4H) - Death cross, increasing green bars → Strong downward momentum - RSI (1H/4H) - 30–35 range, approaching oversold but not yet reversing → Weak rebound - Bollinger Bands - Price near lower band → Weak volatility oscillation - Super Trend / Parabolic SAR - Bearish signal, confirming downtrend 🧠 Market Structure and Capital - Liquidation Data: $380,000+ liquidated across the entire network in 24 hours, long positions account for over 70% → Long squeeze, deleveraging not yet complete - Position Structure: HODL wave shows distribution → Long-term holders are selling - On-chain / Capital: Outflows, TVL decline → Insufficient buying pressure 🎯 Today's Strategy (Cautious) - Short-term (Intraday) - Short: Rebound to $108–$110 range to short, stop loss at $112, target $105→$100 - Long: Not recommended to bottom fish; if volume increases and stabilizes at $110 , consider light short-term longs, quick in and out - Mid-term (1–3 days) - If broken below $100 → Accelerate bearish view, target $95 - Stabilization signal: Volume breakout above $115 and stabilization before considering trend reversal ⚠️ Risk Warning - The overall market (BTC/ETH) is highly correlated, follow market fluctuations - High leverage liquidation risk, strictly control position size and stop-loss #Gate广场发帖领五万美金红包 $SOL