Fed Could Give Gold a Launchpad With Upcoming Cut

Spot gold prices inched up early Tuesday as markets pre-positioned ahead of an expected Federal Reserve interest-rate cut — prediction markets put the probability at about 83%.

Gold Edges up as Markets Expect Federal Reserve to Cut Rates

The Facts

Metal investors have reacted positively to the expectation of a rate cut, taking positions to benefit from this change.

Spot prices for gold rose as high as $4,165 per ounce during the early hours of Tuesday, rising from close to $4,000 prices, as prediction markets are already anticipating a 0.25% rate cut from the Federal Reserve.

The market’s change of heart on this issue happened after John Williams, president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, hinted at upcoming rate cuts, explaining that he saw room for “further adjustment in the near term.”

Analysts explained that gold tends to perform well during periods of low interest rates, as it is a non-yielding asset. Even so, the precious metal is still one of the best-performing assets in 2025, rising over 50% year to date (YTD).

Standard Chartered pointed out that central banks’ demand remains positive, and that concerns of a possible negative decision on Trump’s tariffs might prop up demand in the future.

Read more: The Fed May Have Just Resuscitated Bitcoin

Why It Is Relevant

Gold is considered the original hedge against inflation and uncertainty, and just like bitcoin, its value is derived from scarcity, as there is just a finite quantity of gold that can be extracted and mined.

Gold’s continued rise means that investors are taking the asset as a hedge against this uncertainty, as the geopolitical and macroeconomic arenas have become increasingly dynamic, with comments and narratives shifting markets in seconds.

JPMorgan analysts considered these developments, including interest rate cuts, stagflation concerns, the Fed’s contested independence, and gold’s value as a dollar devaluation hedge, as elements that might push prices up to $5,055 per troy ounce by Q4 2026.

Looking Forward

As experts predict, gold is unlikely to ease its hike to higher prices as long as there are worries about the economic performance of the U.S. and the world, and investors seek to hedge their investment bets.

FAQ

• What recent changes have influenced gold prices?
  Gold spot prices surged to $4,165 per ounce, driven by expectations of a 0.25% rate cut from the Federal Reserve.
• What prompted the market’s shift regarding rate cuts?
  The change occurred after John Williams, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, hinted at potential rate cuts, indicating room for “further adjustment.”
• Why is gold performing well in the current economic environment?
  Gold traditionally thrives during periods of low interest rates since it is a non-yielding asset and is seen as a hedge against inflation and uncertainty.
• What future price predictions do analysts have for gold?
  Analysts from JPMorgan project that gold prices could rise to $5,055 per troy ounce by Q4 2026, influenced by economic concerns and interest rate dynamics.