摩根士丹利:油价若涨至120美元/桶,将对亚洲经济增长构成重大威胁

Gate News 消息,3 月 23 日,摩根士丹利分析师在研究报告中指出,如果油价涨至每桶 120 美元,可能对亚洲经济增长构成重大威胁。分析师认为,油价每桶持续上涨 10 美元,很可能直接对亚洲 GDP 增长造成 20 至 30 个基点的负面影响。报告指出,若油价涨至每桶 120 美元,亚洲的石油和天然气支出将占 GDP 的 6.3%。此外,如果冲突持续且大宗商品价格保持高位,政策缓冲力度将受到削弱。若冲突持续,菲律宾、印度尼西亚、印度和韩国的央行可能不得不从第三季度末或第四季度开始提高利率。

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