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ETH 15分钟上涨1.04%：宏观流动性宽松与链上活跃度高企共振驱动
2026-02-17 16:00 至 2026-02-17 16:15（UTC）期间，以太坊（ETH）实现+1.04%涨幅，价格自1966.04美元升至1986.75美元，短线表现优于BTC、SOL等主流币种。资金活跃度明显增加，24小时成交量达188.8亿美元，市场关注度持续提升，波动加剧。
本次异动的主要驱动力来自宏观层面的流动性改善与技术利好。首先，美联储于2月中旬启动温和降息周期，带动整体风险偏好回升，资金重新流向加密市场，ETH作为主流资产受益明显。其次，2026年两项重大技术升级（Glamsterdam & Hegota）临近，市场对ETH可扩展性和零知识证明前景抱有乐观预期，机构资金加速流入，哈佛大学基金2月16日大额购入8680万美元相关资产，强化了多头信心。
此外，链上活跃度依然强劲，交易量和活跃度均居高位，支撑ETH走强。ETF资金于2月中旬净流入2.5亿美元，行业层面欧盟合规进展利好释放，亦推升了国际化预期。与此同时，散户多头持仓高企（达72%），杠杆资金主导短线博弈，推动ETH突破2000美元关键阻力，技术面短线反弹动能强劲。极度恐惧的市场情绪促使部分资金在低位布局，超跌反弹效应显现，多重因素共振放大短线涨幅。
需警惕的是，当前市场仍处高波动状态，涨幅过后回调风险提升。杠杆资金主导下，行情易被突发消息放大波动，建议关注2000美元附近阻力及链上资金变化，警惕因宏观或政策因素导致情绪反转。建议密切留意价格、成交量与资金流向等核心指标，追踪更多行情快讯以做好风控应对。
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