# Circle Position Liquidation Record and Reason Analysis



**Trading Operations:**
Liquidated Circle positions in two tranches at 83 and 112.

**Personal Reasons for Liquidation (All Subjective Views):**

1. **Disconnect Between Narrative and Reality:**
Circle's rally this wave is driven by the AI Agent payments narrative, but AI Agent payments are still in a very early stage. USDC issuance volume being truly driven by AI Agent trading volume won't happen without 2-3 years. What's being traded now is just optimistic expectations about AI.

2. **Limited Market Positioning:**
Stablecoin payments for AI Agents is only a niche market segment. Stablecoin payments will primarily be used in cross-border scenarios, whereas for AI Agents, local payment scenarios are the real big opportunity. The most rational approach for local payments is combining fiat currency + local applications. Cross-border Agent payment scenarios are not the primary problem being solved currently.

3. **Overvaluation:**
Circle's current market cap of $28 billion is too expensive relative to net profits of over $100 million annually. Personally, I believe the current price already reflects the valuation when USDC issuance volume grows 10x.
USDC-0.01%
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
Add a comment
Add a comment
No comments
  • Pin