HedgeHedgeBaby

These days, memes are getting lively again, and I also feel itchy. But honestly, the more lively it gets, the more I need to write down my stop-loss first; otherwise, once a needle drops, I start self-hypnotizing with "wait a bit longer." My current approach is very crude: before entering, I set a price/zone for "if wrong, just exit," and I will close immediately when triggered, without debating on the candlestick chart. Recently, the calendar for unlocking/pledge unlocking has been repeatedly mentioned, and I also assume it is a potential selling pressure point, so I cut my position in half,

Lately, I've been seeing more screenshots of that kind of "risk-free arbitrage" on the blockchain. My first reaction isn't opportunity but: am I actually standing in the middle of someone else's sandwich... To put it simply, you think you're catching the price difference, but you might actually be paying fees + slippage for MEV. Now, when I place an order, I first break down the expectations into probabilities: the chance of execution, the chance of being sandwiched, and the survival probability of the spread. If any one of these feels uncomfortable, I don't push through, even if it means earn

With geopolitical “black swans” layered on top of macro selling pressure, losing the 71,000 level— is that just the beginning, or a stop-hunt to lure in buyers? It all comes down to what happens next after Hormuz and the direction of market funding flows. For now, control your position sizes—don’t go all-in.