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Fed's interest rate direction for next year: 79% probability of no change in January, nearly 50% probability of a cumulative 25bp rate cut by March.

The market holds a cautious attitude towards the Fed's monetary policy next year, with a high probability of 79% that interest rates will not be lowered in January. Expectations are divided for March, with 47.1% believing in a 25 basis point rate cut, 43.4% thinking the status quo will be maintained, and 9.5% expecting a 50 basis point cut. This reflects the current uncertainty in the macro economy.
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AllInAlicevip:
79% not moving? I feel like we have to wait until spring for any action

By March, there's only a 47% probability of a rate cut, this interest rate gap still has to be held for a long time

The Fed is going to keep people on edge again, the crypto world needs to prepare mentally

It feels like another "looks like it will loosen, but actually tighter" script

If nothing happens for half a year, this inflation really won't end.
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The prospects of Bitcoin before 2026 are widely debated: predictions range from $60,000 to $200,000.

Wall Street analysts have significantly divergent predictions for Bitcoin in 2026. Fundstrat predicts a more conservative price range between $60,000 and $65,000, while Tom Lee boldly forecasts it could reach $200,000. Galaxy's Alex Thorn believes that market uncertainty is high and future price fluctuations are difficult to predict. The current market is awaiting the expiration of $23 billion in options contracts, which is expected to trigger price fluctuations.
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BTC0.16%
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MetaverseVagabondvip:
Tom Lee really dares to say this, 200,000 dollars? Is he kidding?

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Whether it's 60,000 or 200,000, to be honest, who the hell knows?

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230 billion Options are expiring, let's watch the show again...

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The conservatives and optimists will always live in two parallel universes.

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This prediction is way off, I choose to believe nothing.

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Alex Thorn is right, it's the uncertainty itself that is valuable.

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Tom Lee is daydreaming again, Fundstrat is a bit more honest.

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The Options explosion day is here again, my Wallet is trembling.

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Listening to analysts' predictions is best taken as a joke.

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From 60,000 to 200,000, can this prediction range be any wider?
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Smart money is at it again, making $19 million while spending $89 million to go long ETH.

Recently, a successful investor went long on ETH with 3x leverage on Hyperliquid, with a holdings size reaching $89 million, netting $19 million in profit over the past month. This operation demonstrates his keen judgment of the market, but it also comes with high risks and is worth following for future developments.
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GateUser-5854de8bvip:
In January, he made 19 million and went all in with 89 million. This guy is really bold, either a big Satoshi or a big fool.
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Will DeFi be replaced by on-chain Capital Markets? How institutional migration is reshaping the financial landscape

Sidney Powell, the CEO of Maple Finance, believes that traditional DeFi has entered a decline and will be dominated by real on-chain capital markets in the future. He points out that institutional players will gradually migrate their core businesses to the Blockchain, the traditional intermediary model will be replaced, and the on-chain market will devour Wall Street.
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gas_fee_traumavip:
Haha, here we go again with the "DeFi is dying" rhetoric. Haven't you guys ever eaten from this bowl?

Wait a minute, will institutions really migrate to the blockchain on a large scale? I just don't believe it.

Will the chain swallow Wall Street? Let’s get past the regulatory hurdles before making such claims.

To be honest, declaring the decline of DeFi right now is a bit premature; I've heard this countless times before.

By the way, what happened to Maple? Is it still alive?

I haven't seen MakerDAO, AAVE, and those old bros decline.

When BTC isn't rising, who cares about the Capital Market?

It's just another "restructuring the financial landscape" pipe dream; I think it's better to continue sleeping.
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Whale reduced position by 20 BTC again, how to operate the short order account with unrealized gains exceeding 55 million US dollars?

A Whale that has been continuously shorting Bitcoin recently cut another short order of 20 BTC, realizing a profit of $465,000. Currently, it still holds a short order of 550.7 BTC, with total unrealized gains reaching $12.8 million and cumulative profits exceeding $55.51 million. This Whale operates steadily, timely reducing positions and locking in profits.
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MEVHuntervip:
The risk management logic of this Whale is truly exceptional; having over 550 short orders and still daring to steadily reduce position is not something everyone can hold onto.
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Poland's Bitcoin treasury company BTCS collaborates with QCP Group to introduce derivation tools to optimize BTC holdings strategy.

Poland's Bitcoin treasury company BTCS collaborates with Singapore's QCP Group to utilize financial instruments for an active management model of Bitcoin. They have increased their holdings to 137 BTC, reflecting institutional confidence in the long-term value of Bitcoin and innovative exploration, which is worth learning from.
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NoodlesOrTokensvip:
Institutions have started to play with derivation, all wanting to upgrade from easy profits to refined operations. This trend has really changed.

The recent increase in BTCS by over 21 pieces is interesting, but 137 pieces really isn't a big deal among institutions.

To claim active management just by using options structures and cumulative weight frameworks? To put it nicely, it's innovation; to put it harshly, it's betting on volatility.

These financial tools sound sophisticated, but the actual effects depend on market conditions. Let's hope they don't end up losing big when the situation reverses.
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The Shanghai Blockchain Industry Center has officially launched, with multiple enterprises concentrating their operations there.

Shanghai officially unveiled the Blockchain Innovation Achievement Industrialization Service Center, marking a new stage in the construction of the Blockchain ecosystem. Xujiahui Mall and 8 blockchain companies have reached settlement agreements, which are expected to promote industrial transformation and resource connection, accelerating the application of blockchain technology in the real economy. This move demonstrates the local government's increased support for blockchain, pushing the Web3 ecosystem towards practicality.
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DefiVeteranvip:
Another industry center is coming, is it favourable information or are we being played for suckers? It sounds good, but I'm afraid it's the same old trap in the end.

Only when it can be implemented does it count, otherwise it's just another PPT project.

Shanghai has taken action, is this time the magic city really going to da moon? Or is it just another capital feast?

Is Xujiahui getting into blockchain? This combination is quite interesting...

What are the 8 companies that have settled in? Can the list be found? It feels like there's an opportunity.

Policy support sounds good, but can they really get the financing? That's still debatable.

Everyone can say nice things, the key is whether there will be real cash subsidies in the follow-up.
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Bitcoin $56,000 key level tested three times: Is there a confirmation signal for the cycle bottom?

Bitcoin has historically rebounded multiple times at the price point of $56,000, marking a turning point in market cycles. Recently, the market has adjusted by about 55%, posing a psychological test for holders. This price level has technical support significance, and if verified again, it may indicate that the market is exhibiting cyclical characteristics once more.
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GasGoblinvip:
A 55% fall? Heh, I'm already numb to my holdings, just waiting to see if this 56,000 can hold.

Bottom confirmation? I've heard that too many times...

Is 56,000 really the bottom, or are we going to keep smashing down?

Cyclical? Sounds nice, but it's really just betting on probabilities, my frens.

It's that time to call the bottom again, the old hands are all waiting for this point.

I believe history repeats itself, but will it be the same this time...

What does 55% count for? I've seen worse, those who should cut loss have already done so.

Psychological bottom? You mean the liquidation line, right?

Technical support sounds impressive, but it's really just looking at the market maker's face.

If 56,000 breaks again, that would be true despair.
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Sui has a new gameplay: NAVI Protocol launches a benefit price trading platform PRE DEX, simplifying the participation threshold for Decentralized Finance.

[Coin World] The Sui ecosystem has new developments. NAVI Protocol, as a liquidity service provider on this blockchain, recently announced the launch of a decentralized premium trading platform called PRE DEX. In simple terms, this aims to create a more fair, transparent, and completely market-driven premium discovery mechanism for high-quality projects and communities on Sui.
What are the highlights of this platform? First of all, there is the issue of asset management. If you are messing around in the Sui DeFi ecosystem, you might be holding several wallets with various different assets, and managing them can be quite troublesome. PRE DEX allows users to integrate these assets more efficiently, especially for those experienced multi-wallet users and institutional investors, significantly reducing operational costs.
Secondly, it opens a door for holders of mainstream assets. Want to participate in the Sui DeFi ecosystem? It may have taken a lot of effort to understand various complexities before.
SUI-0.78%
NAVX13.76%
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DegenGamblervip:
Another new concept, new platform, can it really lower the threshold this time?

The Sui ecosystem is heating up, managing multiple Wallets is indeed troublesome...

PRE DEX? Sounds like another bunch of marketing terms, can it be realized, brother?

Asset integration sounds good, but is NAVI reliable, is there data support?

Another platform, another coin, does the Sui ecosystem really need so many?

I'm crying with multiple Wallets, I hope this time it really works.

Sounds good, but the key still lies in volume and user experience.

The benefit price discovery mechanism... to put it bluntly, it's just speculation, right?
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BTC 4-hour chart review: short positions make a strong push, long positions' strength is diminishing, operational advice is here.

Recently, BTC has shown significant selling pressure, with the price falling and closing in a bearish engulfing pattern. Trading Volume has risen, indicating increased selling pressure. The MACD shows a weakening bullish trend, and potential buy and sell points need to be followed. The overall short-term trend is weak, but no reversal signal has been seen yet, and subsequent trading volume should be monitored.
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BearMarketMonkvip:
Short positions are indeed fierce this wave, the volume is incredibly strong.

Another signal of long positions weakening, this rhythm is a bit uncomfortable.

The divergence between volume and price is so obvious, I'm afraid there is still space for price drops ahead.

The MACD bars are getting shorter, which means it understands everything, but just doesn’t want to play people for suckers.

After eating so many high-position meals for days, now just waiting for a rebound.

The price drops with increasing volume is truly absolute, the sellers are crazy dumping.
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Warning! North Korean Hacker stole $2 billion in encryption assets in 2025, targeting exchanges.

Recent data shows that North Korean hacker groups stole $2.02 billion in encryption assets in 2025, setting a new historical high and accounting for 76% of the total global crypto theft. Although the frequency of attacks has decreased, the single-attack yield has increased, with targets shifting to centralized exchanges. Hackers are using small transfers and social engineering tactics to conceal money laundering, and industry experts are calling for exchanges to upgrade their security defenses.
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LowCapGemHuntervip:
2 billion is gone, the exchange really needs to strengthen security, otherwise we retail investors will be the most hurt.
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Vitalik: The prediction market is the true remedy against emotional viewpoints.

Prediction markets are considered by Vitalik to be the best option for addressing extreme emotional topics, as their economic incentive mechanisms compel participants to be responsible, reflecting more accurate probabilities and reducing the noise and bias from social media and mainstream media.
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SpeakWithHatOnvip:
When the real gold and silver get dumped, those contentious views instantly vanish, and there's no denying that.

The comment section of social media is just a garbage dump, where anyone dares to ramble, how could there be a sense of responsibility?

It's like pushing all the gamblers into the casino, and in the end, can any real truth really be extracted?

I think of the prophets in the crypto world, one after another, they just blurt things out. Would they really dare to gamble their money?

That said, can this really scale and land successfully? Or will it just remain a playground for the players?

They are using economics to shackle gossip, which is quite interesting.

But don't forget, those with strong capital will always have an advantage; this mechanism may not be fairer.
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137K PENDLE transfer events: Monitoring Large Investors' movements

Famous figure Arthur Hayes recently received 137,117.41 PENDLE from Flowdesk, worth approximately 259,183.61 USD. Although this transfer is not huge, it draws attention within the PENDLE ecosystem and may reflect market intentions. PENDLE is active in the Decentralized Finance space, and Large Investors' actions often precede changes in market sentiment.
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hodl_therapistvip:
Is Hayes hoarding again? Looks like someone is going to pull a pump, haha.
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ETHFI whale continues to reduce holdings: large transfer of 900,000 tokens in 3 hours, totaling $36.58 million in cashout

An early ETHFI investor transferred 900,000 ETHFI tokens to an exchange in a short period, totaling $36.58 million in cashing out, indicating ongoing liquidation. The investor's behavior reflects the market's attitude toward the token's price and changes in participant sentiment.
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MysteryBoxBustervip:
The Whale has executed a Rug Pull, trapping over 36 million US dollars; this price is indeed not very good.
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The altcoin season has actually been happening all along; you just haven't seized the new opportunities.

The market's copycat season still exists, but investors need to adjust their mindset and no longer rely on past success stories. New projects like Hyperliquid and Solana show significant gains, reflecting a trend of market re-pricing. Those who truly profit are traders who focus on new directions and adjust their strategies in a timely manner.
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MysteryBoxOpenervip:
Wow, Hyperliquid's move was really amazing, but unfortunately I'm still bottom-fishing for shitcoins.
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Elon Musk's net worth soars to $749 billion, Delaware Supreme Court reinstates Tesla's sky-high stock option plan

The Delaware Supreme Court reinstated Elon Musk's $139 billion compensation plan from 2018, ruling that he was treated unfairly. This move caused Musk's wealth to surge to $749 billion, and with rumors of SpaceX going public, his net worth also hit a new record. This reversal has increased market attention on him.
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airdrop_huntressvip:
The court's move is truly brilliant. Saying "ridiculous" and then changing the tone—139 billion just like that is back?

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Elon Musk's luck, how does it feel like everything can turn around

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Wait, 56 billion and 139 billion don't match up. Was the number calculated incorrectly?

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SpaceX IPO rumors + court ruling, this pacing is just too perfect

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Alright, another story of "judicial justice." Anyway, he won, so it's all good

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His net worth can increase so much—thank goodness it's Musk. Try it with someone else

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The option plan can be dragged out repeatedly for so long—only top executives in companies can enjoy such treatment

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The "ridiculous" 139 billion dollars still ended up in his pocket. LOL

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No wonder rich people love to sue; if they lose, they can always turn the tables
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SEI breaks below key support, but derivatives trading is heating up—are institutions preparing for a rebound?

【CryptoWorld】SEI's recent trend is quite interesting. The price has broken below the key support level of $0.1206, and it might even continue to decline to $0.0689. At first glance, the spot market indeed appears somewhat sluggish.
But there's a detail worth noting — trading activity in derivatives is actually heating up. The 24-hour trading volume has reached $32 million, and open interest is also increasing. This is not a sign of market collapse; rather, it indicates that some traders are leveraging their bets on the direction, with a strong speculative atmosphere.
Additionally, large traders in the spot market remain very active, suggesting that major institutions haven't completely exited the market; they are quietly positioning themselves at critical levels. Momentum indicators have recently eased, and selling pressure is less intense.
The key is whether the rebound can break above $0.1261 — if it can surpass this level, it will give the market a boost, and potential signs of recovery will truly emerge. If it cannot break above...
SEI-1.34%
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ApyWhisperervip:
Big players are bottom-fishing, retail investors are cutting losses, and derivatives leverage is going wild—this is the crypto world, brother.
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Tether is hiring a mobile AI wallet engineer, with WDK and QVAC supporting new product development

【Blockchain Rhythm】Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino recently announced that the company is looking for talented mobile crypto wallet chief software engineers to join. This new wallet product will integrate AI-powered features, aiming to provide users with a smarter asset management experience.
According to official information, this wallet project will be built on the WDK technology framework. WDK is Tether's open-source wallet development toolkit, providing developers with a standardized development environment. At the same time, the wallet will also connect to QVAC—Tether's self-developed decentralized AI platform, which means users may gain access to more AI-assisted interactive features.
From the job postings, it appears that Tether is increasing its investment in mobile products and AI integration. This move indicates that traditional stablecoin issuers are actively exploring wallet ecosystems, trying
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AirdropChaservip:
Tether is up to something again. As long as the AI wallet works well, that's fine; let's hope it's not just hype over substance.
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