According to TechFlow news on March 19, as reported by Jin10 data, the Federal Reserve will keep the Benchmark Interest Rate unchanged at 4.25%-4.50%, in line with market expectations.
From April 1, the pace of tapering will slow down, reducing the monthly cap on the reduction of US Treasury bonds to $5 billion, while maintaining the monthly reduction of mortgage-backed securities (MBS) at $35 billion.
The Fed’s dot plot shows that among the 19 officials, 4 officials believe that interest rates should not be cut in 2025 (1 in December), 4 officials believe that interest rates should be cut by a cumulative 25 basis points in 2025, that is, 1 rate cut (3 in December), 9 officials believe that interest rates should be cut by a cumulative 50 basis points in 2025, that is, 2 rate cuts (10 in December), and 2 officials believe that interest rates should be cut by a cumulative 75 basis points in 2025, that is, 3 rate cuts (3 in December), No official thinks there should be a cumulative 100 basis point rate cut in 2025 (1 in December), and no official thinks there should be a cumulative 125 basis point cut in 2025 (1 in December).