#Fed May Rate Forecast

Expectations, Data and Global Effects

In May 2025, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to keep the federal funds rate steady in the range of 4.25% to 4.50%.
This decision is based on economic indicators, such as the slowing of inflation in recent months and the strength of the job market.

📊 Economic Indicators
• Inflation: In February 2025, annual inflation decreased to 2.8%, while core inflation fell to 3.1%. 
• Employment: In April, 177,000 new jobs were added and the unemployment rate remained steady at 4.2%.

These data support the Fed's decision to keep interest rates steady.

🌐 Global Influences and Trade Policies

The high tariffs imposed by President Trump have made it difficult for companies to plan by reducing trade volume.
However, the resumption of trade talks with China is seen as a promising development. 

📉 Outlook on the Future

Market expectations indicate that the Fed may cut interest rates in June.
However, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell stated that they will not reduce interest rates until inflation approaches the 2% target in a sustainable manner.
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