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#FedRateCutPrediction
Hello friends;
There are only a few days left until the Fed's final interest rate decision of the year, and we can all sense how much the tension in the market has risen.
On one side, panicking investors; on the other, crowds waiting and wondering, "Will we turn things around this time?"
Frankly, right now what drives the market is not data but expectations.
The market is pricing in a 25 bps rate cut with an 84% probability. Under normal circumstances, this would be a clear positive signal, but in crypto, nothing works in isolation.
Especially in the recent weeks’ declin

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#PostonSquaretoEarn$50
The recent movements in the market actually point to one thing: investors have now learned to cope with uncertainty, but price volatility still dominates. Especially with Bitcoin dropping below the 90,000 level again, there was some short-term panic; however, in my opinion, reading the situation solely through red candles is insufficient.
Looking at the liquidity side, the growth in stablecoin supply has accelerated in recent weeks. This generally signals a “prepared arsenal.” Although there isn’t a major influx of funds into ETFs, periods when institutions are not buyi

#DecemberMarketOutlook
December is shaping up to be one of the toughest yet most instructive months for crypto. Although the sharp pullback at the end of November rattled investors, reading the situation based solely on red candles would mean missing the true nature of December. The market is currently revolving around three main axes: liquidity, macro expectations, and the positioning of major players.
The panic that triggered the latest drop was largely fueled by three factors:
— Weak inflows on the ETF front
— Ongoing uncertainty about interest rates on the macro side
— And silent sell-off

December started with a discouraging beginning on its very first day. Bitcoin's drop below 90,000, ETH losing its support at 2,900, and the altcoins entering a chain reaction of declines created a true "cold shower" effect in the market. This sharp pullback experienced in a short period was particularly exhausting for investors using high leverage.
To understand this table, it is necessary to read both macro changes and on-chain movements together. Although the recent drop may appear to many as a "flash crash," the underlying accumulated risks had actually been evident for days.
1. Why di

#DecemberRateCutForecast
The issue of interest rate cuts has come back to the table in December, but this time the market's response is much more cautious.
What I see is this: even though everyone talks about the discount as if it is "certain", the Fed's language is still soft but not guaranteed.
The critical point is that the data coming in recent weeks has pulled inflation down. If this trend does not change, the last meeting of the year could really be a turning point. Because market psychology quickly prices in the expectation that "once it starts, it continues."
When it comes to