#Fed May Rate Forecast

Economic Uncertainties and Global Effects

In May 2025, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to keep the federal funds rate stable in the range of 4.25%–4.50%. This decision is based on economic indicators such as the slowdown in inflation and the strength of the labor market in recent months.

📊 Economic Indicators
• Inflation: In February 2025, annual inflation fell to 2.8%, while core inflation decreased to 3.1%.
• Employment: 177,000 new jobs were added in April, and the unemployment rate remained steady at 4.2%.

This data supports the Fed's decision to keep interest rates unchanged.

🌐 Global Impacts and Trade Policies

The high tariffs imposed by President Trump have made it difficult for companies to plan by reducing trade volume. However, the resumption of trade talks with China is seen as a promising development.

📉 Looking to the Future

Market expectations indicate that the Fed may cut interest rates in June. However, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell stated that they will not cut interest rates until inflation approaches the 2% target in a sustainable manner.
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