Multi-month 50%+ rally, then boom—stagnation hits. Everyone's suddenly convinced they're master stock pickers. The whole narrative flips: dollar debasement becomes doctrine, consensus talking point at every dinner table.
Meanwhile, pretty much every asset imaginable sits at or near all-time highs. The peak looks different when you're in it, doesn't it?
Then comes the gut check: -30% correction back toward 5,000 by year's end. Not prediction, just pattern recognition. Markets have a way of rhyming with their own history. The question isn't whether this happens—it's whether you're positioned when sentiment shifts from "can't lose" to "when did I buy this?"
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FloorSweeper
· 7h ago
History really loves to repeat itself. Now everyone is just as hyped as last year.
To put it simply, this is how it always is at high levels; you just can't feel it.
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MidnightSeller
· 7h ago
History always repeats itself, but this time it might really be different... right?
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Once again, the same old tricks from 2022. I'll just watch quietly to see how many people still fall for it.
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Wait, a -30% retracement to 5000? Brother, your prediction is way too specific. Aren't you afraid of being proven wrong? Haha
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Every time it's about pattern recognition, but in reality, everyone is just a armchair strategist after the fact.
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Having assets at a high level is truly painful, it feels like throwing a party on the mountain top.
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The real issue is that no one knows when the turn will come. I just want to run early before that day arrives.
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When discussing dollar devaluation at the dinner table, you should be alert. The moment retail consensus appears is often a sign of a reversal.
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The shift from "can't lose" to "why did I buy" happens so quickly it's scary.
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MerkleTreeHugger
· 7h ago
History really loves to repeat itself, but I can't bet on it this time, it's too brain-burning.
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2022 is calling? Maybe, anyway I see everyone as a leek now.
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It's that same trick of "I understand everything now," just wait and see.
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That 5000 line is indeed a bit painful; no one will be able to escape it when the time comes.
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Everyone is a stock god until the market says no.
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"Current high levels" and "tomorrow's crash" are just a news release apart.
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Pattern recognition sounds professional, but it's really just betting on history repeating itself, uh... I believe it too.
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If a -30% drop really happens, where are the people who are now shouting?
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All assets at high levels really leave no idea how to play.
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It only takes a few trading days for emotions to flip from "sure profit" to "why am I so stupid."
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RektCoaster
· 7h ago
History always rhymes, but the steps never repeat... This time feels different.
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It's the same old trick again, when it goes up it's all about the stock gods, when it drops it's all about the bagholders.
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What’s there to fear about crossing 5000? I’ve already mentally prepared myself.
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That's right, now everywhere is at a high level, it all depends on who can survive until next year and still smile.
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Anyway, I don’t believe this wave can stay hype until the end of the year; it feels like the rhythm is changing.
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"Not prediction, but pattern"... Bro, you should go write technical analysis.
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It’s always like this—when it rises, I think I’m Buffett; when it falls, I instantly become a rookie.
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Just wait and see, when it drops by -30%, you'll know who really holds the position and who’s just bragging.
What if equities just mirror 2022's playbook?
Multi-month 50%+ rally, then boom—stagnation hits. Everyone's suddenly convinced they're master stock pickers. The whole narrative flips: dollar debasement becomes doctrine, consensus talking point at every dinner table.
Meanwhile, pretty much every asset imaginable sits at or near all-time highs. The peak looks different when you're in it, doesn't it?
Then comes the gut check: -30% correction back toward 5,000 by year's end. Not prediction, just pattern recognition. Markets have a way of rhyming with their own history. The question isn't whether this happens—it's whether you're positioned when sentiment shifts from "can't lose" to "when did I buy this?"