Wintermute: This bear market may end faster than in the past, and the market is likely to recover in the second half of the year.

Odaily Planet Daily reports that Wintermute stated on X that it is clear we are in a bear market, and in fact, it has been ongoing for some time — especially when looking at the performance of altcoins, the extreme concentration of rebounds, and market sentiment on X. However, what sets this bear market apart is that it was not triggered by structural collapses like FTX, Luna, or 3AC, but rather by macroeconomic conditions and cyclical trend changes, leading to a relatively natural deleveraging process. The core driving forces are changes in positions, risk appetite, and market narratives.

This point is very critical. Since there have been no bankruptcies or systemic contagion, this cycle may end faster than previous bear markets. Infrastructure is more robust, stablecoins are still growing, and institutional interest has not disappeared — it has only temporarily retreated to a wait-and-see stance. Once the environment improves, attention and capital could quickly return — most likely in the second half of 2026, when macro uncertainties decrease and the Federal Reserve’s policy path becomes clearer.

In the short term, after liquidations, positions have significantly lightened, but market confidence remains insufficient. After two months of range-bound oscillation, we are back to the price discovery phase. It is still too early to discuss any meaningful upward trend, but if one appears, its pattern may be more clearly defined than the reversals seen in previous bear markets — because this time, the crypto ecosystem has not suffered structural damage.

View Original
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to Disclaimer.

Related Articles

Dogecoin faces a risk of sharp decline as selling pressure increases

Dogecoin (DOGE) records its second consecutive decline, trading around $0.090 as of Saturday. Previously, this meme coin reached its weekly high of $0.104 on Wednesday. However, the rapid rally was halted as the market entered a period of volatility.

TapChiBitcoin1h ago

BTC surged to $74,000 before falling back below $69,000, with the total market capitalization evaporating approximately $110 billion.

This week, the cryptocurrency industry received positive news from Wall Street, but Bitcoin's price fell from $74,000 to $69,000, with a market cap evaporating approximately $110 billion. The strength of the US dollar and macroeconomic factors are putting pressure on risk assets. Short-term holders are taking profits, increasing selling pressure, but the US spot Bitcoin ETF recorded net inflows, indicating an improvement in the funding environment.

GateNews4h ago

Today, the cryptocurrency Fear & Greed Index dropped to 12, indicating the market is in extreme fear.

Gate News Report, March 7th, according to Alternative.me data, today the cryptocurrency fear and greed index dropped to 12, indicating the market is in a state of "extreme fear." Yesterday, the index was 18, also in the "extreme fear" zone.

GateNews4h ago

Kaspa Tops CoinMarketCap Community Sentiment With 90% Bullish Votes – Here’s Why

Kaspa’s price hasn’t had the best year. The coin is currently trading around $0.03, and on the yearly chart it’s still down roughly 60%. That kind of drop usually hurts sentiment in most crypto

CaptainAltcoin5h ago

Will XRP Hold $1.33 or Extend Toward $1.30 Before Rebound?

XRP is currently trading at $1.35, experiencing a 1.3% decline. Key support is at $1.34, while resistance is at $1.40. The price is testing around the Fibonacci levels of $1.33 and $1.30, crucial for potential upward movement or deeper decline.

CryptoNewsLand10h ago
Comment
0/400
No comments