TonyTheBull

October 2023 “A Flight to Quality”
$1923 & $22 / oz

Same average, different environment

Silver could keep trending against Bitcoin

The last time Bitcoin's daily RSI was this high it was above $120K, days before the October 10th flash crash

Hope is the trap
Belief is the bait

Left: Bitcoin 2022 bottom 1M Morning Star and resulting bull market
Right: Inverse BTCUSD 3M Evening Star — what comes next?
How does this view and comparison challenge your existing beliefs?

Fibonacci in Music 🌀🎵
Most traders are aware of the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level
But did you know that musicians often utilize this key Fibonacci ratio in music production?
It is often when the beat drops, tempo builds, or the hook changes the flow of the song up just enough to boost interest
My top 2025 track was “before we say goodbye” by Artemas — it features deep, dark, heavy bass vibrations
The song is 2 minutes and 27 seconds long
Multiply this song length by 0.618, and you get 1 minute and 40 seconds
If you listen to the track, as 1:40 approaches, the beat fades, the hook begin

100% ROI handed to Slice subscribers on a *Silver* platter
Link in profile

How did Bitcoin’s 4 year cycle break?
It was as accurate as it always was
Actual cycle length is 3.87 years, but still beating to the same rhythm

The “business cycle” narrative in Bitcoin/crypto is the new M2 chart
Over a year ago, I cautioned against the clear cherry-picky of a visual correlation that ignored reality and confirmed biases
Try and recall which accounts were ready to live and die by this meaningless, temporary correlation in M2 and realize they’re the same ones clinging onto the business cycle turning up from here
ISM/PMI is due for a cyclical trough next now that it’s past peak cycle amplitude — you can’t just point to it rising because your portfolio and your bullish reputation rides on it
A cyclical lower low is very

Bitcoin’s yearly close is tonight
Here’s the yearly line chart with markers
Below is the ISM/PMI everyone is using to justify why BTC will soon go parabolic
Come to your own conclusions

My 2026 preview is out now and it’s free for everyone:
It features:
Bitcoin’s yearly chart — what the Doji means
All about the quarterly Evening Star and a 72% chance of reversal
Altcoins — why you should avoid
Business cycle behavior and secular shifts from stocks to commodities

The TD Sequential automatically paints TDST Support levels
The indicator suggests that quarterly support on TOTAL3 is at $53M... not $53B, but $53M

This chart shows a strong trend entering a decision phase — momentum has slowed, control still belongs to buyers, but the market is now testing whether conviction remains or whether this advance has already done its job
The doji at the top is not a sell signal — it is the first admission by the market that upward certainty has ended. What follows will determine whether this is digestion, distribution, or a final push

Emotionless signal across multiple timeframes