HenriqueCen

UNPOPULAR OPINION: Oil price spikes are NOT the stock market killer everyone thinks
$SPX returned +14.6% on average during oil surges.
Wait, what?
Here's what Wall Street won't tell you:
- 1973 Oil Embargo → SPX -38% (expected)
- 1990 Gulf War → SPX -12% (expected)
- 2008-09 Recovery → SPX +64% (wait...)
- 2020-21 Recovery → SPX +44% (huh?)
- 1999-2000 → SPX +23% (interesting...)
The real question isn't "is oil surging?"
It's "WHY is oil surging?"
Supply shock from war/embargo? Panic and sell.
Demand surge from economic recovery? Buy the dip.
Stop trading headlines. Start trading context!

I didn't know the Dutch flag means main muscle and sub muscle 💪

What we just saw happening to Korea's stock market $KOSPI is extreme tail risk.
This level of volatility happens once in 19 years.

Korean market just crashed 20% in 2 days – biggest drop in history
Fear: Korea imports 95% of energy, oil prices rising
Reality: 20% drop is panic, not fundamentals
Starting positions in KOSPI/KORU 🇰🇷
This is what opportunity looks like. 📈

Analyzed 8 major wars since 1939 to see how they impact the S&P 500.
Pattern is clear:
• Markets drop ~10% in first month on average
• Bottom around day 50
• +22% average return 1 year from bottom
Every single war showed positive returns 1 year after the bottom.
Fear creates opportunity. Timing is the challenge.

In China, a Wagyu Tomahawk steak costs USD 24.
The American mind cannot comprehend this.

John Maynard Keynes predicted in 1930 that due to the tech developments and automation, people would work only 15 hours per week.
It didn’t happen then, and it will not happen now with AI.

What
Do you think the current S&P 500 dividend yield level means?

No shortcuts. No AI summaries. Just raw, dense, headache-inducing math. This is the unsexy work that actually builds wealth.

Love to see when people boost more than one of my scripts on TradingView. I guess it means I'm building something people find useful.

Palantir stock has offloaded a load of risk