DAT模式正经历一场巨大的市场考验

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作者:岳小鱼;来源:X,@yuexiaoyu111)

DAT模式正在经历一场巨大的市场考验!

1️⃣ 现在市场最怕的是什么?

是DAT(数字资产财库)公司卖币。

之前上市公司借钱买币,市场一片大好,价格也螺旋上升;

现在行情变差,一旦这些公司开始卖币,信心崩塌,会造成市场踩踏。

2️⃣ 到底怎么评估DAT公司当前运营状况呢?

目前市场上主要用的是指标是:mNAV(Market Net Asset Value,市场净资产价值倍数)

也就是说,一家公司囤了多少币,这是其资产,主要看公司市值与数字资产持仓两者之比。

如果两者比例大于1,这是市场给的溢价,说明投资者认可这家公司的价值以及未来增长潜力;

如果两者比例小于1,则说明资产大于市值,资产无法承载市值,这会引发市场对DAT模式的重估。

当前DAT龙头Strategy的mNAV是1.03,接近出现负溢价了。

此时,非常有可能会出现死亡螺旋:资产贬值→股价进一步下行→融资困难

可以说,现在的市场行情,是对DAT模式的巨大考验。

3️⃣ DAT模式不只是传统企业借钱买币这么简单,更关键的是,传统公司们的利益和这个代币的生态绑定起来了。

比如一个企业是以太坊DAT,为了自家股票升值,就需要想办法提振币价,那么自然会有很强的动力去参与到这个代币的生态中。

比如如参与PoS链的staking提高网络安全,或将代币出借给DeFi协议提供流动性,甚至投资生态内的初创项目,扶持实际应用落地。

只有生态繁荣了,以太坊币价才有支撑,企业的股票才有叙事空间。

所以,上市公司们将变成代币生态的最大推动者。

即使最近以太坊创始人Vitalik跳出来说,中心化公司会对去中心化的以太坊造成威胁。

但是反过来想,这也是以太坊生态发展的巨大推动力。

4️⃣ 回到BTC,比特币财库公司们也一定会推动比特币生态的发展。

那具体怎么推动呢?

首先,还是需要让比特币流动起来。

目前传统机构们买完币,还是把币放到冷钱包或者中心化的托管平台,没有产生任何额外收益。

所以DAT公司想要提高公司的溢价,不能简单囤币,必须用数字资产创造收益,这才有叙事空间。

这就是比特币生态文艺复兴的内在驱动力。

最近刚看了比特币二层网络GOAT Network发布的研究报告,同样在向市场说明这一点,其愿景也是成为比特币的收益层。

所以,DAT模式面临的市场考验不仅仅是价格下跌造成的死亡螺旋,更重要的是需要回答一个问题:到底怎么用1美元的BTC创造出2美元的价值?

囤积1美元的比特币,只能支撑1美元的公司市值,但是需要想办法创造出更多的溢价。

帮助数字资产构建生态是破局方法之一

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