2月14日消息，美国最新公布的消费者价格指数（CPI）为2.4%，低于市场预期的2.5%，为风险资产带来短线提振，比特币随即走强，当日收盘上涨3.93%，录得两周以来最大单日涨幅。不过，尽管行情快速反弹，BTC 仍在关键阻力带下方徘徊，市场对能否延续涨势仍存分歧。
此前，美国公布的就业数据超出预期，显示劳动力市场保持韧性，这引发了关于降息节奏的激烈讨论。部分投资者认为，经济“过热”将迫使美联储延后宽松周期；而CPI回落则暂时缓和了通胀担忧，使多头重新获得信心。
价格上行伴随着明显的空头挤压。数据显示，近期约85%的清算来自空头仓位，规模接近2.67亿美元。但从技术结构看，买盘并未形成持续推力，关键区间附近仍聚集大量流动性。7万美元至7.5万美元区域内，约1.5亿美元的抛压构成主要阻力，若无法有效突破，本轮反弹或仍属于短线修复。
链上信号同样反映出谨慎情绪。虽然价格企稳，资金费率仍处于负值，说明市场中空头力量尚未完全退出。同时，ETF在连续两日流出后小幅转为净流入，约1,500万美元，显示部分资金开始试探性回流，但规模仍不足以支撑趋势反转。
从更宏观的角度看，即便通胀数据改善，美国投资者仍保持观望，担心回调风险。当前涨幅更像是由被动回补推动，而非新一轮资金入场。如果后续动能无法增强，多头仍面临再次受压的可能。
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