俄羅斯政府正加速加密貨幣監管布局，預計最快於 2026 年夏季起，透過技術封鎖等方式限制民眾存取未在國內註冊的外國加密交易所，旨在將交易活動引導至受監管的本地平台，留住每年高達 150 億美元的手續費並減少資本外流。
（前情提要：放棄去美元化？俄羅斯傳考慮「重返美元結算體系」，換取美國經濟合作與俄烏和平）
（背景補充：俄羅斯禁止Telegram「傳檔案和影片」！要求消除匿名性，TON生態面臨考驗）
俄羅斯政府正積極推動加密貨幣監管新法，預計最快於 2026 年夏季開始限制民眾存取未經註冊的外國加密貨幣交易所網站。此舉旨在將加密貨幣交易活動引導至國內受監管的平台，減少資金外流並強化金融監督。根據專家分析，這項政策不僅涉及技術封鎖，還反映出俄羅斯希望在數位資產領域掌握更大主導權的經濟考量。
每日交易規模龐大，多數流向境外
俄羅斯當局估計，目前涉及俄羅斯參與者的加密貨幣每日交易額約達 500 億盧布，但絕大部分活動發生在不受國內監管的境外平台上。這種情況導致大量手續費與資金流向海外，影響國家金融體系的完整性。為此，政府計劃在今年春季加速推進相關立法，為國內加密基礎設施的建立提供法律依據。
莫斯科交易所監事會主席謝爾蓋·什韋佐夫指出，俄羅斯交易者每年支付給全球加密交易所的手續費高達約 150 億美元。隨著新法規上路，國內交易平台將有機會全面參與加密貨幣業務，爭取這筆可觀的收入。官員認為，將交易活動集中於領有執照的本地平台，不僅能留住資金，還可提升整體金融監管的效能，避免資本無序外流。
執法機制預期，Roskomnadzor 將扮演關鍵角色
若封鎖措施正式實施，負責執行任務的機構很可能是俄羅斯聯邦通訊、資訊技術和大眾傳媒監管局（Roskomnadzor）。專家預測，該局可能採用 DNS 層級過濾等技術手段，限制民眾存取未在俄羅斯註冊的境外交易所。Bestchange.ru 資深分析師尼基塔·祖博列夫認為，一旦國內加密基礎設施正式啟用，封鎖境外平台將成為高度可能的發展路徑，類似白俄羅斯已採取的限制模式。
不過，儘管政策方向明確，多位專家仍提醒，完全阻斷個人存取外國平台在技術與實務上相當困難。用戶可能轉而使用 VPN、P2P 交易或去中心化平台等方式繞過限制。這反而可能導致部分活動流入更不透明的管道，增加詐騙風險或監管盲點。法律界人士也指出，嚴格管制不一定能立即讓市場「正式化」，反而需謹慎評估副作用。
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