The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in March is 90.3%, with a 9.7% chance of a rate cut.

ChainCatcher reports that, according to Jintiao, before the CPI release, based on CME “Federal Reserve Watch,” the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged until March is 90.3%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 9.7%. By April, the probability of a total 25 basis point rate cut is 28.1%, the probability of holding rates steady is 69.7%, and the probability of a total 50 basis point cut is 2.2%. By June, the probability of a total 25 basis point cut is 49.4%.

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