Gate News reports that on March 19, in the prediction market Polymarket, three smart money accounts invested a total of $9,400 to buy “Yes” in the market “Will there be a new country attack Iran before April?” Currently, the probability for this option is 24%.
On the 18th, the Saudi Foreign Minister explicitly stated that Saudi Arabia reserves the right to take military action against Iran. On the same day, the UK government announced that it is providing more support to Gulf partners affected by Iranian attacks and plans to purchase additional missiles to protect the region.
Today (March 19), the foreign ministers of 12 Muslim countries meeting in Riyadh issued a statement condemning Iran’s attacks on Gulf neighboring countries, stating that attacks targeting residential areas, oil facilities, airports, and desalination plants “can never be justified under any circumstances.”
Note: Based on their past trading patterns, this trader does not bet on whether the event will actually happen, and may close positions for profit or loss at certain times after opening.
Account addresses:
0x25db6ca5935ae858a5c1f2dcd5c62939805328de
0xcf6a714618a328c608a1c70cb62a31a6bef3f9d0
0x53e55bc7cb3d67ad177c023ce891ad076a9d6177
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