BlockBeats News, February 19 — According to CNN, the U.S. military has currently deployed fighter jets, early warning aircraft, and drones in several countries including Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, and the United Arab Emirates. The U.S. military has also deployed multiple destroyers and littoral combat ships near the Red Sea, Persian Gulf, and the Strait of Hormuz. In the North Arabian Sea, there is the Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group, which includes the F-35C Lightning II fighter jet. The Ford carrier strike group is expected to arrive as early as this weekend.
While a large number of U.S. naval and air forces are gathering in the Middle East, Trump has just stated, “We are having good conversations with Iran, and we must reach a meaningful agreement with Iran. We will find an answer to the Iran issue within about 10 days. I no longer care about the Nobel Peace Prize.”
According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, the probability of the U.S. striking Iran before the end of February has risen to 25%, before March 15 to 45%, and before the end of March to 56%.
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Related Articles
NCAA "Final Four" tips off tomorrow morning; Polymarket data shows the University of Michigan has a 35% chance of winning, the highest.
On April 4, the NCAA “Final Four” is about to kick off. The University of Michigan has the highest chance to win the championship at 35%, while the University of Arizona is at 32%. The games will feature a matchup between the University of Connecticut and the University of Illinois, as well as a showdown between the University of Michigan and the University of Arizona.
GateNews1h ago
Prediction: the market platform will accelerate its expansion in Asia; regulatory gray areas are the biggest challenge for further growth
Polymarket and PredicXion are expanding into Asian markets and launching Chinese-language support to drive localization. However, countries such as China and India lack clear regulation for blockchain prediction markets, and there are strict restrictions on gambling activities, which affects market expansion. The difference between prediction markets and gambling is their ability to aggregate information.
GateNews2h ago
Polymarket takes down market on missing US pilot after backlash
Polymarket removed a market tied to the fate of a missing US service member after mounting backlash, saying the listing violated its “integrity standards.”
The controversy erupted after a prediction market appeared asking whether US authorities would confirm the rescue of a pilot reportedly shot
Cointelegraph4h ago
A prediction market platform delisted a “Missing U.S. military aviator” prediction market, saying it violated integrity standards.
A prediction market platform removed markets about the fate of a missing American pilot for violating the “integrity standards,” triggering controversy. U.S. House lawmakers criticized such betting as “disgusting” and questioned rule transparency. Meanwhile, concerns about insider trading have intensified, and regulators are calling for stronger restriction measures.
GateNews4h ago
Nevada court extends ban on Kalshi sports prediction market, ruling it has no substantive difference from gambling
A Nevada judge ruled that Kalshi’s sports prediction market products have no substantive difference from gambling, extended the injunction prohibiting it from offering related services locally until the case is further considered. Regulators believe it should be subject to the state’s gambling regulations.
GateNews7h ago
Judge continues Nevada ban on Kalshi sports markets
A Nevada judge extended a ban on Kalshi's sports-related prediction markets, agreeing with regulators that they resemble illegal gambling. Kalshi argues they are federally regulated, prompting a broader legal conflict as state actions against prediction markets increase nationwide.
CoinDesk7h ago
