U.S. President Donald J. Trump announced today on social media that he has instructed the Secretary of War and other relevant government agencies to begin identifying and releasing all government files related to “aliens, extraterrestrial life, Unidentified Aerial Phenomena (UAP), and Unidentified Flying Objects (UFO).” He emphasized that “all highly complex but extremely important information” will be disclosed, and stated, “God bless America.”
Trump’s statement quickly triggered market reactions. According to the decentralized prediction market Polymarket, the market price for “Will the United States confirm the existence of extraterrestrial life before 2027?” surged after the news, jumping from nearly 10% to around 20%, reaching a recent high.
(What is a prediction market? Polymarket beginner’s guide: betting methods, settlement processes, and risk analysis)
The rules of the bet state that as long as “the U.S. President, cabinet members, members of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any federal agency” explicitly confirm the existence of “extraterrestrial life or its technology” before December 31, 2026, the market will settle as Yes; otherwise, it will settle as No.
Currently, no further details have been announced by officials, nor have any new files been made public. The market’s subsequent movement will depend on whether the U.S. government releases concrete evidence that can be regarded as a “definitive conclusion.”
This article, “Trump orders UFO files to be released, Polymarket ‘extraterrestrial life confirmation’ bet surges to 20%,” first appeared on Chain News ABMedia.
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Related Articles
An Israeli Air Force major has been accused of using confidential information to profit from trades on Polymarket.
Israeli Air Force reservists are accused of using confidential information to trade on Polymarket in order to profit from the war between Israel and Iran that began last year. The two men have been charged with serious security offenses, bribery, and obstruction of justice. They had previously successfully predicted specific military operations and earned $162,663 in profits. Details of the case have been partially disclosed, but the defendants’ names have not yet been made public.
BlockBeatNews24m ago
Polymarket new wallet positions a $200,000 bet that the U.S. will not invade Iran before March 31.
On the Polymarket platform, one wallet bet $200,000 that the United States would not invade Iran before March 31, despite the current market price falling. Iranian officials say there are no specific arrangements for negotiations, while Trump says negotiations with Iran are nearing substantive progress.
GateNews33m ago
Israeli Air Force reserve major accused of using confidential information to profit $160,000 on Polymarket
An Israeli Air Force reservist major allegedly used confidential information to trade on Polymarket, involving last year’s war between Israel and Iran. He and an accomplice were charged with serious offenses and made $162,663 in profits. Case details became public after some court gag orders were lifted, but the defendants’ names were not disclosed.
GateNews38m ago
The two major parties in the United States are pushing a bill to curb "insider trading in prediction markets," with fines up to twice the profits gained.
U.S. lawmakers have introduced the "2026 Financial Prediction Market Public Integrity Act," which aims to prohibit government officials from using non-public information to place bets in prediction markets and requires the reporting of bets exceeding $250. The bill broadly defines insider information, with violations facing penalties of up to double the profits gained. This legislation reflects an increase in U.S. regulation of prediction markets.
MarketWhisper2h ago
Cathie Wood's ARK taps Kalshi data to help make investment calls
Tech-focused asset manager ARK Invest said it will start using Kalshi’s prediction market data to improve how it makes its investment decisions, one of the latest cases demonstrating the broader value of prediction market data beyond trading.
According to a statement from Kalshi, ARK will use predi
Cointelegraph2h ago
Polymarket adds a new prediction event: When will the Trump administration terminate the criminal investigation into Powell? The probability of termination before June is 56%.
Polymarket has added a new event "When will the Trump administration terminate the Powell criminal investigation," with data showing a 39% probability of termination before April 30 and 56% before June 30. The market settles based on official information, and the investigation stems from Powell's testimony to Congress. Trump has stated that there are currently no plans to advance the investigation.
GateNews2h ago
