美国驻伊拉克大使馆遭袭，防空系统被摧毁

Prediction Markets Shift Collectively: Iran Conflict May Prolonged, Bitcoin and Inflation Face Intensified Pressure

Due to tensions in the Middle East, short-term ceasefire expectations have declined, affecting global inflation and interest rates, and putting pressure on risk assets like Bitcoin. Analysis suggests that high oil prices and high interest rates will continue to suppress the crypto market, with future market trends closely tied to geopolitical developments.

Bitcoin Hashrate Plummets Approaching "Difficulty Adjustment," Iran Crisis Impacts Miner Revenues

Bitcoin's network hashrate fell to 920 EH/s this week, with an estimated difficulty adjustment of approximately 8% on March 20th, marking the second-largest adjustment in five years. As the Iran conflict pushes oil prices higher, miner revenues have declined substantially, with hashrate prices hitting historic lows. Major mining operators have begun selling Bitcoin and pivoting toward AI computing power to cope with margin compression.

PPI Surges + Middle East Tensions Escalate! Bitcoin Breaks Below $70,000, Why Is the Crypto Market Experiencing a Collective Downturn?

On March 19, the cryptocurrency market experienced a pullback due to the U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) rising and escalating geopolitical tensions, with total market capitalization evaporating approximately $83 billion and Bitcoin declining to around $71,000. Risk-off sentiment increased in the market, altcoins showed weak performance, and LayerZero broke below $2.15. The U.S.-Iran conflict and rising energy prices exacerbated inflation concerns, with the market maintaining expectations for sustained high interest rates. U.S. regulatory advancement in security token offerings represents a long-term positive, but provides limited relief to near-term macroeconomic pressures.

Fairshake's Multi-Million Dollar Gamble Fails! Crypto Camp Loses in Illinois, Bets $221 Million on 2026 Midterm Elections

In Illinois state Senate Democratic primary, Lieutenant Governor Juliana Stratton defeated Raja Krishnamoorthi, who had received support from the crypto industry, demonstrating a pushback by traditional political forces against emerging capital. Despite the Senate loss, the crypto camp made progress in House primary elections, with continued increases in funding investment, but controversy is also rising, with warnings that crypto capital could influence future elections.

A certain historical prediction 11 consecutive winning address invested $40,000, betting that the US and Iran will not reach a ceasefire before 4.15

On March 19, Gate News reported that monitoring shows an address on Polymarket deposited $40,000 betting on a ceasefire between the US and Iran before April 15, with the current probability of negation at 80%. Trump warned Iran that if it attacks Qatar again, the US will take stronger action and is considering deploying an additional thousand American troops. Meanwhile, the trader's behavior suggests they are not only betting on the event but may also have profit-taking and stop-loss strategies in place.

Iran Launches Fifth Missile Strike Against Israel Using Cluster Warhead Weapons

Gate News reports that on March 19, the Israel Defense Forces issued the latest statement indicating that Iran launched its fifth ballistic missile attack against Israel since midnight on March 19. The IDF stated that the missile was equipped with a cluster bomb warhead and hit an open area, with no reports of casualties or other effects so far.